HOCHSCHILD MINING (Germany) Market Value

H3M Stock  EUR 2.59  0.09  3.60%   
HOCHSCHILD MINING's market value is the price at which a share of HOCHSCHILD MINING trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HOCHSCHILD MINING investors about its performance. HOCHSCHILD MINING is trading at 2.59 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 3.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HOCHSCHILD MINING and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HOCHSCHILD MINING over a given investment horizon. Check out HOCHSCHILD MINING Correlation, HOCHSCHILD MINING Volatility and HOCHSCHILD MINING Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HOCHSCHILD MINING.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HOCHSCHILD MINING's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HOCHSCHILD MINING is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HOCHSCHILD MINING's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HOCHSCHILD MINING 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HOCHSCHILD MINING's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HOCHSCHILD MINING.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HOCHSCHILD MINING on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HOCHSCHILD MINING or generate 0.0% return on investment in HOCHSCHILD MINING over 30 days. HOCHSCHILD MINING is related to or competes with TOTAL GABON, and Walgreens Boots. More

HOCHSCHILD MINING Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HOCHSCHILD MINING's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HOCHSCHILD MINING upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HOCHSCHILD MINING Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HOCHSCHILD MINING's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HOCHSCHILD MINING's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HOCHSCHILD MINING historical prices to predict the future HOCHSCHILD MINING's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.596.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.526.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.786.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.502.602.70
Details

HOCHSCHILD MINING Backtested Returns

HOCHSCHILD MINING appears to be risky, given 3 months investment horizon. HOCHSCHILD MINING retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. By reviewing HOCHSCHILD MINING's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize HOCHSCHILD MINING's Semi Deviation of 2.89, market risk adjusted performance of 0.6345, and Downside Deviation of 3.38 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, HOCHSCHILD MINING holds a performance score of 11. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.69, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, HOCHSCHILD MINING's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HOCHSCHILD MINING is expected to be smaller as well. Please check HOCHSCHILD MINING's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether HOCHSCHILD MINING's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

HOCHSCHILD MINING has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HOCHSCHILD MINING time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HOCHSCHILD MINING price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current HOCHSCHILD MINING price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

HOCHSCHILD MINING lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HOCHSCHILD MINING stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HOCHSCHILD MINING's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HOCHSCHILD MINING returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HOCHSCHILD MINING has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HOCHSCHILD MINING regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HOCHSCHILD MINING stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HOCHSCHILD MINING stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HOCHSCHILD MINING stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HOCHSCHILD MINING Lagged Returns

When evaluating HOCHSCHILD MINING's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HOCHSCHILD MINING stock have on its future price. HOCHSCHILD MINING autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HOCHSCHILD MINING autocorrelation shows the relationship between HOCHSCHILD MINING stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HOCHSCHILD MINING.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in HOCHSCHILD Stock

HOCHSCHILD MINING financial ratios help investors to determine whether HOCHSCHILD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HOCHSCHILD with respect to the benefits of owning HOCHSCHILD MINING security.