The Hartford Midcap Fund Market Value

HMDYX Fund  USD 39.17  0.22  0.56%   
Hartford Midcap's market value is the price at which a share of Hartford Midcap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Hartford Midcap investors about its performance. Hartford Midcap is trading at 39.17 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.56% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 38.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Hartford Midcap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hartford Midcap over a given investment horizon. Check out Hartford Midcap Correlation, Hartford Midcap Volatility and Hartford Midcap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hartford Midcap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hartford Midcap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hartford Midcap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hartford Midcap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hartford Midcap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hartford Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hartford Midcap.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hartford Midcap on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Hartford Midcap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hartford Midcap over 30 days. Hartford Midcap is related to or competes with Us Vector, Nationwide Global, Ms Global, Gmo Global, Ultra-short Fixed, and Ab Select. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in common stocks of mid-capitalization companies More

Hartford Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hartford Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Hartford Midcap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hartford Midcap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hartford Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hartford Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hartford Midcap historical prices to predict the future Hartford Midcap's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Midcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.2839.1740.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.9439.8340.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.5639.4540.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.2137.5839.96
Details

Hartford Midcap Backtested Returns

Hartford Midcap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hartford Midcap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.23, which attests that the entity had a 0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hartford Midcap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Hartford Midcap's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.72, downside deviation of 0.8588, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1771 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hartford Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hartford Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

The Hartford Midcap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hartford Midcap time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hartford Midcap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Hartford Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.6

Hartford Midcap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hartford Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hartford Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hartford Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hartford Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hartford Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hartford Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hartford Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hartford Midcap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hartford Midcap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hartford Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hartford Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Hartford Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hartford Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hartford Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Hartford Midcap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Hartford Mutual Fund

Hartford Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Midcap security.
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