Hedge Realty (Brazil) Market Value

HRDF11 Fund  BRL 3.02  0.12  3.82%   
Hedge Realty's market value is the price at which a share of Hedge Realty trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hedge Realty Development investors about its performance. Hedge Realty is trading at 3.02 as of the 14th of December 2024, a 3.82 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 3.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hedge Realty Development and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hedge Realty over a given investment horizon. Check out Hedge Realty Correlation, Hedge Realty Volatility and Hedge Realty Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hedge Realty.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hedge Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hedge Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hedge Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hedge Realty 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hedge Realty's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hedge Realty.
0.00
09/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hedge Realty on September 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hedge Realty Development or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hedge Realty over 90 days. Hedge Realty is related to or competes with Ourinvest Jpp, and Fundos De. More

Hedge Realty Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hedge Realty's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hedge Realty Development upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hedge Realty Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hedge Realty's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hedge Realty's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hedge Realty historical prices to predict the future Hedge Realty's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.027.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.846.93
Details

Hedge Realty Development Backtested Returns

At this point, Hedge Realty is risky. Hedge Realty Development holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0101, which attests that the entity had a 0.0101% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Hedge Realty Development, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hedge Realty's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0237, downside deviation of 4.57, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0628 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0412%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.45, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hedge Realty will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Hedge Realty Development has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hedge Realty time series from 15th of September 2024 to 30th of October 2024 and 30th of October 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hedge Realty Development price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Hedge Realty price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Hedge Realty Development lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hedge Realty fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hedge Realty's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hedge Realty returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hedge Realty has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hedge Realty regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hedge Realty fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hedge Realty fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hedge Realty fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hedge Realty Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hedge Realty's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hedge Realty fund have on its future price. Hedge Realty autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hedge Realty autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hedge Realty fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hedge Realty Development.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hedge Fund

Hedge Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hedge Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hedge with respect to the benefits of owning Hedge Realty security.
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