Infosys (Brazil) Market Value
I1FO34 Stock | BRL 71.68 1.47 2.09% |
Symbol | Infosys |
Infosys 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Infosys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Infosys.
06/25/2024 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Infosys on June 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Infosys Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Infosys over 180 days. Infosys is related to or competes with Accenture Plc, International Business, Fiserv, Fidelity National, and Cognizant Technology. More
Infosys Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Infosys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Infosys Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 2.62 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0871 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 9.85 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.64) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.31 |
Infosys Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Infosys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Infosys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Infosys historical prices to predict the future Infosys' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0885 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1815 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.1314 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0614 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 2.4 |
Infosys Limited Backtested Returns
Infosys appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Infosys Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Infosys Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Infosys' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.41, risk adjusted performance of 0.0885, and Downside Deviation of 2.62 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Infosys holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0762, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Infosys' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Infosys is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Infosys' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Infosys' current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.63 |
Good predictability
Infosys Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Infosys time series from 25th of June 2024 to 23rd of September 2024 and 23rd of September 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Infosys Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Infosys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.63 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 12.43 |
Infosys Limited lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Infosys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Infosys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Infosys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Infosys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Infosys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Infosys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Infosys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Infosys stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Infosys Lagged Returns
When evaluating Infosys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Infosys stock have on its future price. Infosys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Infosys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Infosys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Infosys Limited.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Infosys Stock
Infosys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Infosys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Infosys with respect to the benefits of owning Infosys security.