Ivy Natural Resources Fund Market Value
| IGNCX Fund | USD 13.57 0.15 1.09% |
| Symbol | IVY |
Ivy Natural 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ivy Natural's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ivy Natural.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ivy Natural on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ivy Natural Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ivy Natural over 30 days. Ivy Natural is related to or competes with Ivy Large, Ivy Small, Ivy High, Ivy Apollo, Ivy Apollo, Ivy Apollo, and Ivy Small. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets ... More
Ivy Natural Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ivy Natural's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ivy Natural Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.68 |
Ivy Natural Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ivy Natural's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ivy Natural's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ivy Natural historical prices to predict the future Ivy Natural's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0207 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0051 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1776 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ivy Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ivy Natural Resources Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider IVY Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ivy Natural Resources holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0451, which attests that the entity had a 0.0451% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ivy Natural Resources, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Ivy Natural's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1876, risk adjusted performance of 0.0207, and Downside Deviation of 1.18 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0468%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0813, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ivy Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ivy Natural is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.65 |
Good predictability
Ivy Natural Resources has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ivy Natural time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ivy Natural Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Ivy Natural price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.65 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Ivy Natural Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ivy Natural mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ivy Natural's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ivy Natural returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ivy Natural has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ivy Natural regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ivy Natural mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ivy Natural mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ivy Natural mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ivy Natural Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ivy Natural's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ivy Natural mutual fund have on its future price. Ivy Natural autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ivy Natural autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ivy Natural mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ivy Natural Resources.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in IVY Mutual Fund
Ivy Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether IVY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IVY with respect to the benefits of owning Ivy Natural security.
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