Jabil (Germany) Market Value

JBL Stock  EUR 134.70  5.30  3.79%   
Jabil's market value is the price at which a share of Jabil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jabil Inc investors about its performance. Jabil is trading at 134.70 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 3.79 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 134.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jabil Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jabil over a given investment horizon. Check out Jabil Correlation, Jabil Volatility and Jabil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jabil.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jabil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jabil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jabil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jabil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jabil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jabil.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jabil on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jabil Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jabil over 30 days. Jabil is related to or competes with Ibiden CoLtd, Plexus Corp, KCE EL, TTM Technologies, Hana Microelectronics, and AT S. Jabil Inc. provides electronic manufacturing services and solutions worldwide More

Jabil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jabil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jabil Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jabil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jabil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jabil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jabil historical prices to predict the future Jabil's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
132.28134.70137.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.42115.84148.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.80141.22143.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
120.61129.47138.32
Details

Jabil Inc Backtested Returns

Jabil appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Jabil Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Jabil Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Jabil's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.73), risk adjusted performance of 0.1637, and Downside Deviation of 1.5 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jabil holds a performance score of 14. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jabil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jabil is likely to outperform the market. Please check Jabil's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Jabil's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Jabil Inc has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jabil time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jabil Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Jabil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance28.41

Jabil Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jabil stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jabil's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jabil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jabil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jabil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jabil stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jabil stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jabil stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jabil Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jabil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jabil stock have on its future price. Jabil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jabil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jabil stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jabil Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Jabil Stock

Jabil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jabil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jabil with respect to the benefits of owning Jabil security.