Jpmorgan Research Market Fund Market Value

JMNCX Fund  USD 13.40  0.01  0.07%   
Jpmorgan Research's market value is the price at which a share of Jpmorgan Research trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jpmorgan Research Market investors about its performance. Jpmorgan Research is trading at 13.40 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jpmorgan Research Market and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jpmorgan Research over a given investment horizon. Check out Jpmorgan Research Correlation, Jpmorgan Research Volatility and Jpmorgan Research Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Research.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Research's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Research is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Research's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jpmorgan Research 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Research's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Research.
0.00
04/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 7 months and 29 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jpmorgan Research on April 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Research Market or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Research over 240 days. Jpmorgan Research is related to or competes with Calamos Market, Transamerica Emerging, and Rbc Emerging. The fund takes long and short positions in different securities, selecting from a universe of mid- to large-capitalizati... More

Jpmorgan Research Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Research's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Research Market upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jpmorgan Research Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Research's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Research's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Research historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Research's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2113.4013.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0812.2714.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2513.4413.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0713.2713.48
Details

Jpmorgan Research Market Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Jpmorgan Research Market holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.37, which attests that the entity had a 0.37% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Jpmorgan Research Market, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Jpmorgan Research's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.7858, risk adjusted performance of 0.2532, and Coefficient Of Variation of 270.62 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0693%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0799, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Jpmorgan Research's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jpmorgan Research is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

Jpmorgan Research Market has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Research time series from 6th of April 2024 to 4th of August 2024 and 4th of August 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Research Market price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Jpmorgan Research price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.93
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Jpmorgan Research Market lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Research mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Research's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Research returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Research has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Research regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Research mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Research mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Research mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Research Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jpmorgan Research's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Research mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Research autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Research autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Research mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Research Market.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Research financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Research security.
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