Longleaf Partners Small Cap Fund Market Value

LLSCX Fund  USD 29.03  0.15  0.52%   
Longleaf Partners' market value is the price at which a share of Longleaf Partners trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Longleaf Partners Small Cap investors about its performance. Longleaf Partners is trading at 29.03 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Longleaf Partners Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Longleaf Partners over a given investment horizon. Check out Longleaf Partners Correlation, Longleaf Partners Volatility and Longleaf Partners Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Longleaf Partners.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Longleaf Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Longleaf Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Longleaf Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Longleaf Partners 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Longleaf Partners' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Longleaf Partners.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Longleaf Partners on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Longleaf Partners Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Longleaf Partners over 30 days. Longleaf Partners is related to or competes with Needham Aggressive, Intal High, Calvert High, Franklin High, Siit High, Artisan High, and Morningstar Aggressive. The Small-Cap Fund normally invests at least 80 percent of net assets plus any borrowings for investment purposes in the... More

Longleaf Partners Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Longleaf Partners' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Longleaf Partners Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Longleaf Partners Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Longleaf Partners' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Longleaf Partners' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Longleaf Partners historical prices to predict the future Longleaf Partners' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Longleaf Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.2529.0329.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.4129.1929.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.8528.6329.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8628.3729.87
Details

Longleaf Partners Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Longleaf Mutual Fund to be very steady. Longleaf Partners Small has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Longleaf Partners, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Longleaf Partners' Mean Deviation of 0.645, risk adjusted performance of 0.133, and Downside Deviation of 0.7901 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.67, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Longleaf Partners' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Longleaf Partners is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Longleaf Partners Small Cap has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Longleaf Partners time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Longleaf Partners Small price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Longleaf Partners price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Longleaf Partners Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Longleaf Partners mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Longleaf Partners' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Longleaf Partners returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Longleaf Partners has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Longleaf Partners regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Longleaf Partners mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Longleaf Partners mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Longleaf Partners mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Longleaf Partners Lagged Returns

When evaluating Longleaf Partners' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Longleaf Partners mutual fund have on its future price. Longleaf Partners autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Longleaf Partners autocorrelation shows the relationship between Longleaf Partners mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Longleaf Partners Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Longleaf Mutual Fund

Longleaf Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Longleaf Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Longleaf with respect to the benefits of owning Longleaf Partners security.
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