Eli Lilly (Germany) Market Value
| LLY Stock | 749.40 3.40 0.46% |
| Symbol | Eli |
Eli Lilly 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eli Lilly's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eli Lilly.
| 12/28/2022 |
| 12/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Eli Lilly on December 28, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eli Lilly and or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eli Lilly over 720 days. Eli Lilly is related to or competes with Johnson Johnson, AstraZeneca PLC, Bayer AG, and Biogen. More
Eli Lilly Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eli Lilly's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eli Lilly and upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.08 |
Eli Lilly Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eli Lilly's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eli Lilly's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eli Lilly historical prices to predict the future Eli Lilly's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.56) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eli Lilly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eli Lilly Backtested Returns
Eli Lilly secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.046, which denotes the company had a -0.046% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Eli Lilly and exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Eli Lilly's Mean Deviation of 1.57, variance of 5.04, and Standard Deviation of 2.24 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Eli Lilly's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Eli Lilly is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Eli Lilly has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to confirm Eli Lilly's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Eli Lilly performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.65 |
Good predictability
Eli Lilly and has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eli Lilly time series from 28th of December 2022 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eli Lilly price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Eli Lilly price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.65 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7023.16 |
Eli Lilly lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Eli Lilly stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eli Lilly's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eli Lilly returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eli Lilly has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Eli Lilly regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eli Lilly stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eli Lilly stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eli Lilly stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Eli Lilly Lagged Returns
When evaluating Eli Lilly's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eli Lilly stock have on its future price. Eli Lilly autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eli Lilly autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eli Lilly stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eli Lilly and.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Eli Stock Analysis
When running Eli Lilly's price analysis, check to measure Eli Lilly's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eli Lilly is operating at the current time. Most of Eli Lilly's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eli Lilly's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eli Lilly's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eli Lilly to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.