LOreal Co Market Value Analysis | LRLCY

Loreal Co Adr Stock Market Value

LRLCY Stock  USD 72.31  1.07  1.46%   
LOreal Co's market value is the price at which a share of LOreal Co trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LOreal Co ADR investors about its performance. LOreal Co is trading at 72.31 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 1.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 73.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LOreal Co ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LOreal Co over a given investment horizon. Check out LOreal Co Correlation, LOreal Co Volatility and LOreal Co Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LOreal Co.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LOreal Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LOreal Co is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LOreal Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LOreal Co 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LOreal Co's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LOreal Co.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LOreal Co on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LOreal Co ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in LOreal Co over 30 days. LOreal Co is related to or competes with Bank of America, Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Aerovate Therapeutics, PayPal Holdings, Alphabet, and Koss. LOral S.A., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cosmetic products for women and men worldwide More

LOreal Co Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LOreal Co's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LOreal Co ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LOreal Co Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LOreal Co's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LOreal Co's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LOreal Co historical prices to predict the future LOreal Co's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LOreal Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.3372.3174.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.7963.7779.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.9574.9476.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.5373.4482.36
Details

LOreal Co ADR Backtested Returns

LOreal Co ADR has Sharpe Ratio of -0.083, which conveys that the firm had a -0.083% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. LOreal Co exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify LOreal Co's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), mean deviation of 1.38, and Standard Deviation of 1.97 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.21, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning LOreal Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, LOreal Co is likely to outperform the market. At this point, LOreal Co ADR has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify LOreal Co's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if LOreal Co ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

LOreal Co ADR has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LOreal Co time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LOreal Co ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current LOreal Co price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.97
LOreal ReturnsLOreal Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayLOreal ReturnsLOreal Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

LOreal Co ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LOreal Co pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LOreal Co's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LOreal Co returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LOreal Co has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Nov 27Nov 29DecDec 03Dec 05Dec 07Dec 09Dec 11-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4% 50100200300400500600700800
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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LOreal Co regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LOreal Co pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LOreal Co pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LOreal Co pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Nov 27Nov 29DecDec 03Dec 05Dec 07Dec 09Dec 1169.069.570.070.571.071.572.072.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
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LOreal Co Lagged Returns

When evaluating LOreal Co's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LOreal Co pink sheet have on its future price. LOreal Co autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LOreal Co autocorrelation shows the relationship between LOreal Co pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LOreal Co ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28DecDec 06Dec 10686970717273
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for LOreal Pink Sheet Analysis

When running LOreal Co's price analysis, check to measure LOreal Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LOreal Co is operating at the current time. Most of LOreal Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LOreal Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LOreal Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LOreal Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.