N1WG34 (Brazil) Market Value
| N1WG34 Stock | BRL 62.52 1.32 2.16% |
| Symbol | N1WG34 |
N1WG34 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to N1WG34's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of N1WG34.
| 01/05/2023 |
| 12/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in N1WG34 on January 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding N1WG34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in N1WG34 over 720 days. N1WG34 is related to or competes with HSBC Holdings, Barclays PLC, Palantir Technologies, WEG SA, Porto Seguro, and Grazziotin. NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services to personal, com... More
N1WG34 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure N1WG34's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess N1WG34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1902 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.74 |
N1WG34 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for N1WG34's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as N1WG34's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use N1WG34 historical prices to predict the future N1WG34's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1785 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3438 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2833 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2182 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9468 |
N1WG34 Backtested Returns
N1WG34 appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. N1WG34 has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the company had a 0.2% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for N1WG34, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please exercise N1WG34's downside deviation of 1.48, and Mean Deviation of 1.23 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, N1WG34 holds a performance score of 15. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.38, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, N1WG34's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding N1WG34 is expected to be smaller as well. Please check N1WG34's treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether N1WG34's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.83 |
Excellent reverse predictability
N1WG34 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between N1WG34 time series from 5th of January 2023 to 31st of December 2023 and 31st of December 2023 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of N1WG34 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current N1WG34 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 125.25 |
N1WG34 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is N1WG34 stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting N1WG34's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of N1WG34 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that N1WG34 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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N1WG34 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If N1WG34 stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if N1WG34 stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in N1WG34 stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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N1WG34 Lagged Returns
When evaluating N1WG34's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of N1WG34 stock have on its future price. N1WG34 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, N1WG34 autocorrelation shows the relationship between N1WG34 stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in N1WG34.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in N1WG34 Stock
N1WG34 financial ratios help investors to determine whether N1WG34 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in N1WG34 with respect to the benefits of owning N1WG34 security.