NCAB (Sweden) Market Value

NCAB Stock  SEK 61.95  0.35  0.57%   
NCAB's market value is the price at which a share of NCAB trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NCAB Group investors about its performance. NCAB is selling for under 61.95 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.57% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 61.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NCAB Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NCAB over a given investment horizon. Check out NCAB Correlation, NCAB Volatility and NCAB Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NCAB.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NCAB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NCAB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NCAB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NCAB 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NCAB's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NCAB.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NCAB on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NCAB Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in NCAB over 30 days. NCAB is related to or competes with MIPS AB, Hexatronic Group, Lagercrantz Group, Vitec Software, and Sdiptech. NCAB Group AB , together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells printed circuit boards More

NCAB Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NCAB's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NCAB Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NCAB Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NCAB's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NCAB's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NCAB historical prices to predict the future NCAB's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.3861.9564.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.1553.7268.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.9167.4870.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.4959.4263.35
Details

NCAB Group Backtested Returns

NCAB Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which conveys that the company had a -0.14% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. NCAB exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NCAB's Mean Deviation of 2.03, standard deviation of 2.64, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.03 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.23, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NCAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NCAB is likely to outperform the market. At this point, NCAB Group has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to verify NCAB's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if NCAB Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.87  

Excellent reverse predictability

NCAB Group has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NCAB time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NCAB Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current NCAB price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.87
Spearman Rank Test-0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.88

NCAB Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NCAB stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NCAB's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NCAB returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NCAB has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NCAB regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NCAB stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NCAB stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NCAB stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NCAB Lagged Returns

When evaluating NCAB's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NCAB stock have on its future price. NCAB autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NCAB autocorrelation shows the relationship between NCAB stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NCAB Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for NCAB Stock Analysis

When running NCAB's price analysis, check to measure NCAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NCAB is operating at the current time. Most of NCAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NCAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NCAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NCAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.