NCAB (Sweden) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.35

NCAB Stock  SEK 58.35  1.00  1.68%   
NCAB's future price is the expected price of NCAB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NCAB Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NCAB Backtesting, NCAB Valuation, NCAB Correlation, NCAB Hype Analysis, NCAB Volatility, NCAB History as well as NCAB Performance.
  
Please specify NCAB's target price for which you would like NCAB odds to be computed.

NCAB Target Price Odds to finish over 58.35

The tendency of NCAB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58.35 90 days 58.35 
about 85.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NCAB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.69 (This NCAB Group probability density function shows the probability of NCAB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NCAB Group has a beta of -0.34. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NCAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NCAB Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NCAB Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NCAB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NCAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NCAB Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.7558.3560.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.5053.1064.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.9763.5766.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.5158.7860.05
Details

NCAB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NCAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NCAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NCAB Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NCAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
6.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

NCAB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NCAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NCAB Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NCAB Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

NCAB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NCAB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NCAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NCAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.7 M

NCAB Technical Analysis

NCAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NCAB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NCAB Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing NCAB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NCAB Predictive Forecast Models

NCAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many NCAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NCAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NCAB Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about NCAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NCAB Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NCAB Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for NCAB Stock Analysis

When running NCAB's price analysis, check to measure NCAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NCAB is operating at the current time. Most of NCAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NCAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NCAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NCAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.