Nintendo (Germany) Market Value

NTO Stock  EUR 57.22  0.78  1.38%   
Nintendo's market value is the price at which a share of Nintendo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nintendo Co investors about its performance. Nintendo is trading at 57.22 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 1.38 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 57.22.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nintendo Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nintendo over a given investment horizon. Check out Nintendo Correlation, Nintendo Volatility and Nintendo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nintendo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nintendo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nintendo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nintendo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nintendo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nintendo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nintendo.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nintendo on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nintendo Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nintendo over 90 days. Nintendo is related to or competes with Perdoceo Education, GigaMedia, CeoTronics, ANGLER GAMING, and CEOTRONICS. Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and distributes electronic entertainment pro... More

Nintendo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nintendo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nintendo Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nintendo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nintendo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nintendo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nintendo historical prices to predict the future Nintendo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.2657.2259.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.8249.7862.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.1758.1360.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.5355.0760.61
Details

Nintendo Backtested Returns

Nintendo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Nintendo has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Nintendo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Nintendo's Downside Deviation of 1.59, mean deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1067 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Nintendo holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Nintendo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nintendo is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Nintendo's value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Nintendo's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Nintendo Co has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nintendo time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nintendo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Nintendo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.39

Nintendo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nintendo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nintendo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nintendo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nintendo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nintendo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nintendo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nintendo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nintendo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nintendo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nintendo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nintendo stock have on its future price. Nintendo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nintendo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nintendo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nintendo Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Nintendo Stock

Nintendo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nintendo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nintendo with respect to the benefits of owning Nintendo security.