Nexgel Warrant Stock Market Value

NXGLW Stock  USD 0.48  0.02  4.35%   
NexGel Warrant's market value is the price at which a share of NexGel Warrant trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NexGel Warrant investors about its performance. NexGel Warrant is selling for under 0.48 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 4.35 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NexGel Warrant and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NexGel Warrant over a given investment horizon. Check out NexGel Warrant Correlation, NexGel Warrant Volatility and NexGel Warrant Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NexGel Warrant.
For more information on how to buy NexGel Stock please use our How to Invest in NexGel Warrant guide.
Symbol

NexGel Warrant Price To Book Ratio

Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NexGel Warrant. If investors know NexGel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NexGel Warrant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.39)
Revenue Per Share
0.846
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.234
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.64)
The market value of NexGel Warrant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NexGel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NexGel Warrant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NexGel Warrant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NexGel Warrant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NexGel Warrant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NexGel Warrant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NexGel Warrant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NexGel Warrant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NexGel Warrant 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NexGel Warrant's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NexGel Warrant.
0.00
12/15/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NexGel Warrant on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NexGel Warrant or generate 0.0% return on investment in NexGel Warrant over 720 days. NexGel Warrant is related to or competes with Baxter International, West Pharmaceutical, ResMed, ICU Medical, and AptarGroup. NEXGEL, Inc. manufactures high water content, electron beam cross-linked, and aqueous polymer hydrogels and gels More

NexGel Warrant Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NexGel Warrant's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NexGel Warrant upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NexGel Warrant Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NexGel Warrant's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NexGel Warrant's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NexGel Warrant historical prices to predict the future NexGel Warrant's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4911.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4311.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4811.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.480.500.53
Details

NexGel Warrant Backtested Returns

NexGel Warrant appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. NexGel Warrant has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0503, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0503% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing NexGel Warrant's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.57% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise NexGel Warrant's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0088, standard deviation of 12.63, and Mean Deviation of 8.63 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, NexGel Warrant holds a performance score of 3. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0312, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NexGel Warrant are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NexGel Warrant is likely to outperform the market. Please check NexGel Warrant's potential upside and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether NexGel Warrant's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.03  

Very weak reverse predictability

NexGel Warrant has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NexGel Warrant time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NexGel Warrant price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current NexGel Warrant price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.03
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

NexGel Warrant lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NexGel Warrant stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NexGel Warrant's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NexGel Warrant returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NexGel Warrant has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NexGel Warrant regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NexGel Warrant stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NexGel Warrant stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NexGel Warrant stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NexGel Warrant Lagged Returns

When evaluating NexGel Warrant's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NexGel Warrant stock have on its future price. NexGel Warrant autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NexGel Warrant autocorrelation shows the relationship between NexGel Warrant stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NexGel Warrant.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for NexGel Stock Analysis

When running NexGel Warrant's price analysis, check to measure NexGel Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NexGel Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of NexGel Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NexGel Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NexGel Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NexGel Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.