Oakhurst Strategic Defined Fund Market Value
| OASDX Fund | USD 11.83 0.07 0.59% |
| Symbol | Oakhurst |
Oakhurst Strategic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oakhurst Strategic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oakhurst Strategic.
| 11/29/2024 |
| 12/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Oakhurst Strategic on November 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oakhurst Strategic Defined or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oakhurst Strategic over 30 days. Oakhurst Strategic is related to or competes with Oakhurst Fixed, Oakhurst Short, Vanguard Small, Emerald Insights, Vy T, Alger Mid, and Metropolitan West. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests in a portfolio of equity securities of companies that are representative of... More
Oakhurst Strategic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oakhurst Strategic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oakhurst Strategic Defined upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.45 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.7087 |
Oakhurst Strategic Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oakhurst Strategic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oakhurst Strategic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oakhurst Strategic historical prices to predict the future Oakhurst Strategic's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5386 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakhurst Strategic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oakhurst Strategic Backtested Returns
Oakhurst Strategic maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0762, which implies the entity had a -0.0762% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Oakhurst Strategic exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Oakhurst Strategic's Variance of 2.01, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,395) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oakhurst Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oakhurst Strategic is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Oakhurst Strategic Defined has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oakhurst Strategic time series from 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024 and 14th of December 2024 to 29th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oakhurst Strategic price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Oakhurst Strategic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.45 |
Oakhurst Strategic lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oakhurst Strategic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oakhurst Strategic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oakhurst Strategic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Oakhurst Strategic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Oakhurst Strategic Lagged Returns
When evaluating Oakhurst Strategic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund have on its future price. Oakhurst Strategic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oakhurst Strategic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oakhurst Strategic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oakhurst Strategic Defined.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Oakhurst Mutual Fund
Oakhurst Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oakhurst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oakhurst with respect to the benefits of owning Oakhurst Strategic security.
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