LOral SA (Mexico) Market Value

ORN Stock  MXN 8,247  0.00  0.00%   
LOral SA's market value is the price at which a share of LOral SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LOral SA investors about its performance. LOral SA is trading at 8246.67 as of the 27th of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8246.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LOral SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LOral SA over a given investment horizon. Check out LOral SA Correlation, LOral SA Volatility and LOral SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LOral SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LOral SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LOral SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LOral SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LOral SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LOral SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LOral SA.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LOral SA on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LOral SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in LOral SA over 210 days. LOral SA is related to or competes with Colgate Palmolive, and Kimberly Clark. LOral S.A., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cosmetic products for women and men worldwide More

LOral SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LOral SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LOral SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LOral SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LOral SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LOral SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LOral SA historical prices to predict the future LOral SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,2468,2478,247
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,1978,1989,071
Details

LOral SA Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider LOral Stock to be very steady. LOral SA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.09, which conveys that the firm had a 0.09% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for LOral SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify LOral SA's Standard Deviation of 0.8091, risk adjusted performance of 0.0229, and Mean Deviation of 0.1735 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0689%. LOral SA has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.14, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, LOral SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LOral SA is expected to be smaller as well. LOral SA right now secures a risk of 0.77%. Please verify LOral SA information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and skewness , to decide if LOral SA will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

LOral SA has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LOral SA time series from 31st of May 2024 to 13th of September 2024 and 13th of September 2024 to 27th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LOral SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current LOral SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.1 K

LOral SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LOral SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LOral SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LOral SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LOral SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

LOral SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LOral SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LOral SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LOral SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

LOral SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating LOral SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LOral SA stock have on its future price. LOral SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LOral SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between LOral SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LOral SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for LOral Stock Analysis

When running LOral SA's price analysis, check to measure LOral SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LOral SA is operating at the current time. Most of LOral SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LOral SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LOral SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LOral SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.