Pedra Dourada (Brazil) Market Value

OULG11 Fund  BRL 31.10  0.07  0.23%   
Pedra Dourada's market value is the price at which a share of Pedra Dourada trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pedra Dourada Fundo investors about its performance. Pedra Dourada is trading at 31.10 as of the 28th of December 2024, a 0.23 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 31.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pedra Dourada Fundo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pedra Dourada over a given investment horizon. Check out Pedra Dourada Correlation, Pedra Dourada Volatility and Pedra Dourada Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pedra Dourada.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pedra Dourada's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pedra Dourada is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pedra Dourada's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pedra Dourada 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pedra Dourada's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pedra Dourada.
0.00
07/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pedra Dourada on July 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pedra Dourada Fundo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pedra Dourada over 180 days. Pedra Dourada is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, S1YM34, Cable One, ATMA Participaes, British American, and Western Union. Pedra Dourada Fundo De Investimento Imobilirio - FII specializes in real estate investments More

Pedra Dourada Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pedra Dourada's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pedra Dourada Fundo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pedra Dourada Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pedra Dourada's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pedra Dourada's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pedra Dourada historical prices to predict the future Pedra Dourada's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0831.1032.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0231.0432.06
Details

Pedra Dourada Fundo Backtested Returns

At this point, Pedra Dourada is very steady. Pedra Dourada Fundo maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0575, which implies the entity had a 0.0575% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Pedra Dourada Fundo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Pedra Dourada's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0604, coefficient of variation of 1366.44, and Semi Deviation of 0.6341 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0587%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pedra Dourada's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pedra Dourada is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Pedra Dourada Fundo has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pedra Dourada time series from 1st of July 2024 to 29th of September 2024 and 29th of September 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pedra Dourada Fundo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Pedra Dourada price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Pedra Dourada Fundo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pedra Dourada fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pedra Dourada's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pedra Dourada returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pedra Dourada has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pedra Dourada regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pedra Dourada fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pedra Dourada fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pedra Dourada fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pedra Dourada Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pedra Dourada's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pedra Dourada fund have on its future price. Pedra Dourada autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pedra Dourada autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pedra Dourada fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pedra Dourada Fundo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pedra Fund

Pedra Dourada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pedra Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pedra with respect to the benefits of owning Pedra Dourada security.
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