PCI PAL (UK) Market Value
| PCIP Stock | 62.50 0.50 0.79% |
| Symbol | PCI |
PCI PAL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PCI PAL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PCI PAL.
| 10/21/2024 |
| 12/20/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PCI PAL on October 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PCI PAL PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in PCI PAL over 60 days. PCI PAL is related to or competes with Quadrise Plc, ImmuPharma PLC, Intuitive Investments, European Metals, Calculus VCT, Athelney Trust, and Octopus Aim. PCI PAL is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More
PCI PAL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PCI PAL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PCI PAL PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0696 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.6 |
PCI PAL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PCI PAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PCI PAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PCI PAL historical prices to predict the future PCI PAL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0718 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2322 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1383 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0827 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.56) |
PCI PAL PLC Backtested Returns
PCI PAL appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PCI PAL PLC maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0929, which implies the company had a 0.0929% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PCI PAL PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please evaluate PCI PAL's coefficient of variation of 1230.58, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.55) to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, PCI PAL holds a performance score of 7. The firm holds a Beta of -0.4, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PCI PAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PCI PAL is likely to outperform the market. Please check PCI PAL's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether PCI PAL's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.93 |
Near perfect reversele predictability
PCI PAL PLC has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PCI PAL time series from 21st of October 2024 to 20th of November 2024 and 20th of November 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PCI PAL PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current PCI PAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.93 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.76 |
PCI PAL PLC lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PCI PAL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PCI PAL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PCI PAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PCI PAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PCI PAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PCI PAL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PCI PAL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PCI PAL stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PCI PAL Lagged Returns
When evaluating PCI PAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PCI PAL stock have on its future price. PCI PAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PCI PAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between PCI PAL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PCI PAL PLC.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for PCI Stock Analysis
When running PCI PAL's price analysis, check to measure PCI PAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PCI PAL is operating at the current time. Most of PCI PAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PCI PAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PCI PAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PCI PAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.