Phylogica (Germany) Market Value

PH7 Stock  EUR 0.62  0.00  0.00%   
Phylogica's market value is the price at which a share of Phylogica trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Phylogica Limited investors about its performance. Phylogica is selling for under 0.62 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Phylogica Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Phylogica over a given investment horizon. Check out Phylogica Correlation, Phylogica Volatility and Phylogica Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Phylogica.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Phylogica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phylogica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phylogica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Phylogica 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Phylogica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Phylogica.
0.00
06/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Phylogica on June 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Phylogica Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Phylogica over 180 days. Phylogica is related to or competes with Moderna, BioNTech, Superior Plus, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, NorAm Drilling, Norsk Hydro, and Reliance Steel. More

Phylogica Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Phylogica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Phylogica Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Phylogica Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Phylogica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Phylogica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Phylogica historical prices to predict the future Phylogica's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6281.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4881.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.67112.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.300.580.86
Details

Phylogica Limited Backtested Returns

Phylogica is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Phylogica Limited maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.12, which implies the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 13.92% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Phylogica Coefficient Of Variation of 812.4, risk adjusted performance of 0.0992, and Variance of 12405.69 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Phylogica holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 91.93, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Phylogica will likely underperform. Use Phylogica information ratio, kurtosis, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to analyze future returns on Phylogica.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Phylogica Limited has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Phylogica time series from 17th of June 2024 to 15th of September 2024 and 15th of September 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Phylogica Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Phylogica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Phylogica Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Phylogica stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Phylogica's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Phylogica returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Phylogica has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Phylogica regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Phylogica stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Phylogica stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Phylogica stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Phylogica Lagged Returns

When evaluating Phylogica's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Phylogica stock have on its future price. Phylogica autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Phylogica autocorrelation shows the relationship between Phylogica stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Phylogica Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Phylogica Stock Analysis

When running Phylogica's price analysis, check to measure Phylogica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phylogica is operating at the current time. Most of Phylogica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phylogica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phylogica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phylogica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.