Pimco Municipal Income Fund Market Value

PML Fund  USD 8.71  0.02  0.23%   
Pimco Municipal's market value is the price at which a share of Pimco Municipal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pimco Municipal Income investors about its performance. Pimco Municipal is selling for 8.71 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 0.23 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 8.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pimco Municipal Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pimco Municipal over a given investment horizon. Check out Pimco Municipal Correlation, Pimco Municipal Volatility and Pimco Municipal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pimco Municipal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pimco Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pimco Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pimco Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pimco Municipal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pimco Municipal's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pimco Municipal.
0.00
09/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pimco Municipal on September 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pimco Municipal Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pimco Municipal over 90 days. Pimco Municipal is related to or competes with Pimco Municipal, Nuveen Municipal, Nuveen Amt, Pimco New, Nuveen Amt, Nuveen Amt, and Nuveen Dividend. PIMCO Municipal Income Fund II is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Global Investo... More

Pimco Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pimco Municipal's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pimco Municipal Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pimco Municipal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pimco Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pimco Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pimco Municipal historical prices to predict the future Pimco Municipal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.808.719.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.878.789.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.838.749.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.558.738.90
Details

Pimco Municipal Income Backtested Returns

Pimco Municipal Income maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0518, which implies the entity had a -0.0518% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pimco Municipal Income exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pimco Municipal's Coefficient Of Variation of (5,669), variance of 0.8692, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.28, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pimco Municipal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pimco Municipal is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.03  

Virtually no predictability

Pimco Municipal Income has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pimco Municipal time series from 13th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pimco Municipal Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Pimco Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.03
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Pimco Municipal Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pimco Municipal fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pimco Municipal's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pimco Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pimco Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pimco Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pimco Municipal fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pimco Municipal fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pimco Municipal fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pimco Municipal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pimco Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pimco Municipal fund have on its future price. Pimco Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pimco Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pimco Municipal fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pimco Municipal Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Fund

Pimco Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Municipal security.
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