Pace Municipal Fixed Fund Market Value
| PMUYX Fund | USD 12.20 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Pace |
Pace Municipal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pace Municipal's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pace Municipal.
| 12/08/2023 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pace Municipal on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pace Municipal Fixed or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pace Municipal over 360 days. Pace Municipal is related to or competes with Dreyfus/standish, Qs Global, Scharf Global, Siit Global, Artisan Global, Barings Global, and Doubleline Global. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal fixed income investments, the income from which is e... More
Pace Municipal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pace Municipal's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pace Municipal Fixed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.75) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2471 |
Pace Municipal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pace Municipal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pace Municipal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pace Municipal historical prices to predict the future Pace Municipal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1631 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pace Municipal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pace Municipal Fixed Backtested Returns
Pace Municipal Fixed maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0127, which implies the entity had a -0.0127% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pace Municipal Fixed exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pace Municipal's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), variance of 0.0343, and Coefficient Of Variation of (17,273) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0679, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pace Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pace Municipal is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Pace Municipal Fixed has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pace Municipal time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pace Municipal Fixed price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Pace Municipal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Pace Municipal Fixed lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pace Municipal mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pace Municipal's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pace Municipal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pace Municipal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Pace Municipal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pace Municipal mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pace Municipal mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pace Municipal mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Pace Municipal Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pace Municipal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pace Municipal mutual fund have on its future price. Pace Municipal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pace Municipal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pace Municipal mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pace Municipal Fixed.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Pace Mutual Fund
Pace Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pace Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pace with respect to the benefits of owning Pace Municipal security.
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