Pear Tree Polaris Fund Market Value

QISOX Fund  USD 11.91  0.01  0.08%   
Pear Tree's market value is the price at which a share of Pear Tree trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pear Tree Polaris investors about its performance. Pear Tree is trading at 11.91 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.08 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pear Tree Polaris and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pear Tree over a given investment horizon. Check out Pear Tree Correlation, Pear Tree Volatility and Pear Tree Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pear Tree.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pear Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pear Tree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pear Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pear Tree 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pear Tree's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pear Tree.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pear Tree on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pear Tree Polaris or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pear Tree over 540 days. Pear Tree is related to or competes with Abr 75/25, Balanced Fund, T Rowe, and Iaadx. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities issued by fo... More

Pear Tree Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pear Tree's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pear Tree Polaris upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pear Tree Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pear Tree's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pear Tree's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pear Tree historical prices to predict the future Pear Tree's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7114.0414.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6712.3012.93
Details

Pear Tree Polaris Backtested Returns

Pear Tree Polaris maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.093, which implies the entity had a -0.093% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pear Tree Polaris exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pear Tree's Coefficient Of Variation of (855.57), risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Variance of 0.3982 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.23, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pear Tree's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pear Tree is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Pear Tree Polaris has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pear Tree time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pear Tree Polaris price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Pear Tree price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09

Pear Tree Polaris lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pear Tree mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pear Tree's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pear Tree returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pear Tree has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pear Tree regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pear Tree mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pear Tree mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pear Tree mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pear Tree Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pear Tree's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pear Tree mutual fund have on its future price. Pear Tree autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pear Tree autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pear Tree mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pear Tree Polaris.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pear Mutual Fund

Pear Tree financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pear Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pear with respect to the benefits of owning Pear Tree security.
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