Seker Finansal (Turkey) Market Value

SEKFK Stock  TRY 7.86  0.18  2.34%   
Seker Finansal's market value is the price at which a share of Seker Finansal trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Seker Finansal Kiralama investors about its performance. Seker Finansal is trading at 7.86 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 2.34 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Seker Finansal Kiralama and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Seker Finansal over a given investment horizon. Check out Seker Finansal Correlation, Seker Finansal Volatility and Seker Finansal Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Seker Finansal.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Seker Finansal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seker Finansal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seker Finansal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Seker Finansal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Seker Finansal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Seker Finansal.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Seker Finansal on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Seker Finansal Kiralama or generate 0.0% return on investment in Seker Finansal over 30 days. Seker Finansal is related to or competes with Aksa Akrilik, Tofas Turk, AK Sigorta, and Is Yatirim. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey More

Seker Finansal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Seker Finansal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Seker Finansal Kiralama upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Seker Finansal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Seker Finansal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Seker Finansal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Seker Finansal historical prices to predict the future Seker Finansal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.797.869.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.837.909.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.417.489.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.618.068.51
Details

Seker Finansal Kiralama Backtested Returns

Seker Finansal Kiralama owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0738, which indicates the firm had a -0.0738% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Seker Finansal Kiralama exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Seker Finansal's Variance of 4.24, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,368) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.17, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Seker Finansal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Seker Finansal is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Seker Finansal Kiralama has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to validate Seker Finansal's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if Seker Finansal Kiralama performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Seker Finansal Kiralama has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Seker Finansal time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Seker Finansal Kiralama price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Seker Finansal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Seker Finansal Kiralama lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Seker Finansal stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Seker Finansal's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Seker Finansal returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Seker Finansal has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Seker Finansal regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Seker Finansal stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Seker Finansal stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Seker Finansal stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Seker Finansal Lagged Returns

When evaluating Seker Finansal's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Seker Finansal stock have on its future price. Seker Finansal autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Seker Finansal autocorrelation shows the relationship between Seker Finansal stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Seker Finansal Kiralama.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Seker Stock

Seker Finansal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seker Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seker with respect to the benefits of owning Seker Finansal security.