Shell Plc (UK) Market Value
| SHEL Stock | 2,394 11.00 0.46% |
| Symbol | Shell |
Shell Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shell Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shell Plc.
| 01/02/2023 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Shell Plc on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shell plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shell Plc over 720 days. Shell Plc is related to or competes with Zoom Video, Enbridge, Endo International, GSTechnologies, Integrated Diagnostics, OneSavings Bank, and Boston Scientific. Shell Plc is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More
Shell Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shell Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shell plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.19 |
Shell Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shell Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shell Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shell Plc historical prices to predict the future Shell Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) |
Shell plc Backtested Returns
Shell plc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0779, which indicates the firm had a -0.0779% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Shell plc exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Shell Plc's Information Ratio of (0.1), standard deviation of 1.32, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Shell Plc are completely uncorrelated. At this point, Shell plc has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Shell Plc's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Shell plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Shell plc has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shell Plc time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shell plc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Shell Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 23.7 K |
Shell plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Shell Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shell Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shell Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shell Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Shell Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shell Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shell Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shell Plc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Shell Plc Lagged Returns
When evaluating Shell Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shell Plc stock have on its future price. Shell Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shell Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shell Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shell plc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Shell Stock Analysis
When running Shell Plc's price analysis, check to measure Shell Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shell Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Shell Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shell Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shell Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shell Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.