Seafarer Overseas Value Fund Market Value

SIVLX Fund  USD 13.82  0.14  1.00%   
Seafarer Overseas' market value is the price at which a share of Seafarer Overseas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Seafarer Overseas Value investors about its performance. Seafarer Overseas is trading at 13.82 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 1 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.96.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Seafarer Overseas Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Seafarer Overseas over a given investment horizon. Check out Seafarer Overseas Correlation, Seafarer Overseas Volatility and Seafarer Overseas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Seafarer Overseas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Seafarer Overseas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seafarer Overseas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seafarer Overseas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Seafarer Overseas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Seafarer Overseas' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Seafarer Overseas.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Seafarer Overseas on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Seafarer Overseas Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Seafarer Overseas over 30 days. Seafarer Overseas is related to or competes with Invesco Global, Tekla Healthcare, Baillie Gifford, Highland Long/short, Blackrock Health, and Live Oak. Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in common stocks, preferred stocks, and debt obligations of foreign companies . More

Seafarer Overseas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Seafarer Overseas' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Seafarer Overseas Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Seafarer Overseas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Seafarer Overseas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Seafarer Overseas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Seafarer Overseas historical prices to predict the future Seafarer Overseas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1313.8214.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2413.9314.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.0113.7014.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8014.1114.43
Details

Seafarer Overseas Value Backtested Returns

Seafarer Overseas Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0211, which indicates the fund had a -0.0211% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Seafarer Overseas Value exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Seafarer Overseas' Variance of 0.461, coefficient of variation of (5,224), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.23, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Seafarer Overseas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Seafarer Overseas is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

Seafarer Overseas Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Seafarer Overseas time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Seafarer Overseas Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Seafarer Overseas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Seafarer Overseas Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Seafarer Overseas mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Seafarer Overseas' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Seafarer Overseas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Seafarer Overseas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Seafarer Overseas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Seafarer Overseas mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Seafarer Overseas mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Seafarer Overseas mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Seafarer Overseas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Seafarer Overseas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Seafarer Overseas mutual fund have on its future price. Seafarer Overseas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Seafarer Overseas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Seafarer Overseas mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Seafarer Overseas Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Seafarer Mutual Fund

Seafarer Overseas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seafarer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seafarer with respect to the benefits of owning Seafarer Overseas security.
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