Sparebank (Norway) Market Value
| SOAG Stock | NOK 375.00 2.00 0.53% |
| Symbol | Sparebank |
Sparebank 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sparebank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sparebank.
| 11/11/2024 |
| 12/11/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Sparebank on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sparebank 1 Ostfold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sparebank over 30 days. Sparebank is related to or competes with Aurskog Sparebank, Helgeland Sparebank, Kongsberg Gruppen, Napatech, Elkem ASA, Arcticzymes Technologies, and Sparebanken Vest. SpareBank 1 stfold Akershus, a savings bank, provides various banking products and services in stfold and the southern p... More
Sparebank Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sparebank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sparebank 1 Ostfold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 |
Sparebank Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sparebank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sparebank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sparebank historical prices to predict the future Sparebank's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0481 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0505 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4421 |
Sparebank 1 Ostfold Backtested Returns
As of now, Sparebank Stock is very steady. Sparebank 1 Ostfold owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0628, which indicates the firm had a 0.0628% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Sparebank 1 Ostfold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Sparebank's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0481, coefficient of variation of 1651.19, and Semi Deviation of 0.9903 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0801%. Sparebank has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Sparebank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sparebank is expected to be smaller as well. Sparebank 1 Ostfold right now has a risk of 1.28%. Please validate Sparebank semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to decide if Sparebank will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.10 |
Insignificant predictability
Sparebank 1 Ostfold has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sparebank time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sparebank 1 Ostfold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Sparebank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.2 |
Sparebank 1 Ostfold lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Sparebank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sparebank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sparebank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sparebank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Sparebank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sparebank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sparebank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sparebank stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Sparebank Lagged Returns
When evaluating Sparebank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sparebank stock have on its future price. Sparebank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sparebank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sparebank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sparebank 1 Ostfold.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparebank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparebank with respect to the benefits of owning Sparebank security.