Tfa Tactical Income Fund Market Value

TFAZX Fund  USD 8.21  0.22  2.61%   
Tfa Tactical's market value is the price at which a share of Tfa Tactical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tfa Tactical Income investors about its performance. Tfa Tactical is trading at 8.21 as of the 28th of December 2024; that is 2.61 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tfa Tactical Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tfa Tactical over a given investment horizon. Check out Tfa Tactical Correlation, Tfa Tactical Volatility and Tfa Tactical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tfa Tactical.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tfa Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tfa Tactical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tfa Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tfa Tactical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tfa Tactical's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tfa Tactical.
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09/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tfa Tactical on September 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tfa Tactical Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tfa Tactical over 90 days. Tfa Tactical is related to or competes with Tfa Alphagen, Tactical Growth, Hennessy, Fidelity Capital, Fidelity Growth, Cboe Vest, and Tiaa Cref. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in income-producing securities More

Tfa Tactical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tfa Tactical's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tfa Tactical Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tfa Tactical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tfa Tactical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tfa Tactical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tfa Tactical historical prices to predict the future Tfa Tactical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.818.218.61
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.848.248.64
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tfa Tactical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tfa Tactical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tfa Tactical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tfa Tactical Income.

Tfa Tactical Income Backtested Returns

Tfa Tactical Income owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which indicates the fund had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tfa Tactical Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tfa Tactical's Coefficient Of Variation of (820.12), variance of 0.1565, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0808, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tfa Tactical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tfa Tactical is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.02  

Very weak reverse predictability

Tfa Tactical Income has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tfa Tactical time series from 29th of September 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tfa Tactical Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Tfa Tactical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Tfa Tactical Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tfa Tactical mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tfa Tactical's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tfa Tactical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tfa Tactical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tfa Tactical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tfa Tactical mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tfa Tactical mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tfa Tactical mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tfa Tactical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tfa Tactical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tfa Tactical mutual fund have on its future price. Tfa Tactical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tfa Tactical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tfa Tactical mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tfa Tactical Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tfa Mutual Fund

Tfa Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tfa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tfa with respect to the benefits of owning Tfa Tactical security.
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