Thornburg Intermediate Municipal Fund Market Value
| THMQX Fund | USD 13.34 0.01 0.07% |
| Symbol | Thornburg |
Thornburg Intermediate 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg Intermediate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg Intermediate.
| 12/07/2023 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Thornburg Intermediate on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg Intermediate Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg Intermediate over 360 days. Thornburg Intermediate is related to or competes with Champlain Mid, Tfa Alphagen, Small Pany, Vanguard Growth, Chase Growth, Small-midcap Dividend, and Eip Growth. The fund pursues its primary goal by investing principally in a laddered maturity portfolio of municipal obligations issued by states and state agencies, local governments and their agencies, and by United States territories and possessions. More
Thornburg Intermediate Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg Intermediate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg Intermediate Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3689 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.63) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.13 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.304 |
Thornburg Intermediate Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg Intermediate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg Intermediate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg Intermediate historical prices to predict the future Thornburg Intermediate's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0206 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0096 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.34) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.05) |
Thornburg Intermediate Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Thornburg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Thornburg Intermediate owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0544, which indicates the fund had a 0.0544% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Thornburg Intermediate Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Thornburg Intermediate's Coefficient Of Variation of 1548.13, semi deviation of 0.1476, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0206 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0108%. The entity has a beta of -0.0541, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thornburg Intermediate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thornburg Intermediate is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
Thornburg Intermediate Municipal has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg Intermediate time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg Intermediate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Thornburg Intermediate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Thornburg Intermediate lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg Intermediate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg Intermediate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg Intermediate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Thornburg Intermediate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Thornburg Intermediate Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thornburg Intermediate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg Intermediate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg Intermediate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg Intermediate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg Intermediate Municipal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund
Thornburg Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg Intermediate security.
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