Thai Reinsurance (Thailand) Market Value
THRE Stock | THB 0.54 0.01 1.82% |
Symbol | Thai |
Thai Reinsurance 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thai Reinsurance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thai Reinsurance.
11/25/2024 |
| 12/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Thai Reinsurance on November 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thai Reinsurance Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thai Reinsurance over 30 days. Thai Reinsurance is related to or competes with Kasikornbank Public, PTT Public, and Siam Cement. Thai Reinsurance Public Company Limited provides insurance and reinsurance services in Thailand More
Thai Reinsurance Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thai Reinsurance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thai Reinsurance Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 11.75 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.08 |
Thai Reinsurance Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thai Reinsurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thai Reinsurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thai Reinsurance historical prices to predict the future Thai Reinsurance's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.25) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.33) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 4.32 |
Thai Reinsurance Public Backtested Returns
Thai Reinsurance Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.3, which indicates the firm had a -0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Thai Reinsurance Public exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Thai Reinsurance's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), coefficient of variation of (827.65), and Variance of 3.89 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0575, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thai Reinsurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thai Reinsurance is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Thai Reinsurance Public has a negative expected return of -0.47%. Please make sure to validate Thai Reinsurance's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Thai Reinsurance Public performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Thai Reinsurance Public has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thai Reinsurance time series from 25th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thai Reinsurance Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Thai Reinsurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.7 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
Thai Reinsurance Public lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thai Reinsurance stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thai Reinsurance's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thai Reinsurance returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thai Reinsurance has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Thai Reinsurance regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thai Reinsurance stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thai Reinsurance stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thai Reinsurance stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Thai Reinsurance Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thai Reinsurance's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thai Reinsurance stock have on its future price. Thai Reinsurance autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thai Reinsurance autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thai Reinsurance stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thai Reinsurance Public.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Thai Reinsurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Reinsurance security.