Thanulux Public (Thailand) Market Value

TNL Stock  THB 36.00  0.25  0.69%   
Thanulux Public's market value is the price at which a share of Thanulux Public trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thanulux Public investors about its performance. Thanulux Public is selling for 36.00 as of the 15th of December 2024. This is a 0.69 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 35.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thanulux Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thanulux Public over a given investment horizon. Check out Thanulux Public Correlation, Thanulux Public Volatility and Thanulux Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thanulux Public.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thanulux Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thanulux Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thanulux Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thanulux Public 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thanulux Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thanulux Public.
0.00
12/26/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thanulux Public on December 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thanulux Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thanulux Public over 720 days. Thanulux Public is related to or competes with Hwa Fong, AAPICO Hitech, Haad Thip, and Italian Thai. Thanulux Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes men, women, and children apparels in Thailand More

Thanulux Public Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thanulux Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thanulux Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thanulux Public Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thanulux Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thanulux Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thanulux Public historical prices to predict the future Thanulux Public's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.8036.003,636
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.1522.993,623
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.7035.17163.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.3735.5936.81
Details

Thanulux Public Backtested Returns

Thanulux Public is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Thanulux Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down and interpolate twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.51% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Thanulux Public Coefficient Of Variation of (97,966), variance of 1.84, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0039 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Thanulux Public holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -0.75, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thanulux Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thanulux Public is likely to outperform the market. Use Thanulux Public coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Thanulux Public.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

Thanulux Public has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thanulux Public time series from 26th of December 2022 to 21st of December 2023 and 21st of December 2023 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thanulux Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Thanulux Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.4

Thanulux Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thanulux Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thanulux Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thanulux Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thanulux Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thanulux Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thanulux Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thanulux Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thanulux Public stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thanulux Public Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thanulux Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thanulux Public stock have on its future price. Thanulux Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thanulux Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thanulux Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thanulux Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thanulux Stock

Thanulux Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thanulux Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thanulux with respect to the benefits of owning Thanulux Public security.