Unilever PLC (Brazil) Market Value

ULEV34 Stock  BRL 347.90  5.62  1.59%   
Unilever PLC's market value is the price at which a share of Unilever PLC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Unilever PLC investors about its performance. Unilever PLC is trading at 347.90 as of the 23rd of December 2024, a 1.59 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 353.52.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Unilever PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Unilever PLC over a given investment horizon. Check out Unilever PLC Correlation, Unilever PLC Volatility and Unilever PLC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Unilever PLC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Unilever PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unilever PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unilever PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Unilever PLC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Unilever PLC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Unilever PLC.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Unilever PLC on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Unilever PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Unilever PLC over 30 days. Unilever PLC is related to or competes with BIONTECH, Metalrgica Riosulense, Uber Technologies, Cognizant Technology, Nordon Indstrias, and Apartment Investment. More

Unilever PLC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Unilever PLC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Unilever PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Unilever PLC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Unilever PLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Unilever PLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Unilever PLC historical prices to predict the future Unilever PLC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
346.07347.90349.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
319.19321.02382.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
336.10337.93339.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
344.72356.12367.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unilever PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unilever PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unilever PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Unilever PLC.

Unilever PLC Backtested Returns

Unilever PLC owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0013, which indicates the firm had a -0.0013% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Unilever PLC exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Unilever PLC's Semi Deviation of 1.74, coefficient of variation of 10058.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0135 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.3, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Unilever PLC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Unilever PLC is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Unilever PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0023%. Please make sure to validate Unilever PLC's jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to decide if Unilever PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Unilever PLC has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Unilever PLC time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Unilever PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Unilever PLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance32.9

Unilever PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Unilever PLC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Unilever PLC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Unilever PLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Unilever PLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Unilever PLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Unilever PLC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Unilever PLC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Unilever PLC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Unilever PLC Lagged Returns

When evaluating Unilever PLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Unilever PLC stock have on its future price. Unilever PLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Unilever PLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between Unilever PLC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Unilever PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Unilever Stock

Unilever PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unilever Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unilever with respect to the benefits of owning Unilever PLC security.