Unilever Plc (Germany) Market Value
| UNVB Stock | EUR 55.12 0.22 0.40% |
| Symbol | Unilever |
Unilever Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Unilever Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Unilever Plc.
| 06/26/2024 |
| 12/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Unilever Plc on June 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Unilever Plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Unilever Plc over 180 days. Unilever Plc is related to or competes with Procter Gamble, LOREAL ADR, LOral SA, LOral SA, Unilever PLC, and Unilever Plc. Unilever PLC operates in the fast moving consumer goods industry worldwide More
Unilever Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Unilever Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Unilever Plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.21 |
Unilever Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Unilever Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Unilever Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Unilever Plc historical prices to predict the future Unilever Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.51) |
Unilever Plc Backtested Returns
Unilever Plc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0687, which indicates the firm had a -0.0687% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Unilever Plc exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Unilever Plc's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,734), variance of 0.9422, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0188, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Unilever Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Unilever Plc is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Unilever Plc has a negative expected return of -0.0665%. Please make sure to validate Unilever Plc's maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Unilever Plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Unilever Plc has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Unilever Plc time series from 26th of June 2024 to 24th of September 2024 and 24th of September 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Unilever Plc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Unilever Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.3 |
Unilever Plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Unilever Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Unilever Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Unilever Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Unilever Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Unilever Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Unilever Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Unilever Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Unilever Plc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Unilever Plc Lagged Returns
When evaluating Unilever Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Unilever Plc stock have on its future price. Unilever Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Unilever Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Unilever Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Unilever Plc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Unilever Stock
Unilever Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unilever Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unilever with respect to the benefits of owning Unilever Plc security.