AL 21 01 SEP 28 Market Value

00914AAQ5   87.07  3.78  4.16%   
00914AAQ5's market value is the price at which a share of 00914AAQ5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AL 21 01 SEP 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AL 21 01 SEP 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 00914AAQ5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 00914AAQ5 Correlation, 00914AAQ5 Volatility and 00914AAQ5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 00914AAQ5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 00914AAQ5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00914AAQ5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00914AAQ5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

00914AAQ5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00914AAQ5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00914AAQ5.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 00914AAQ5 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AL 21 01 SEP 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00914AAQ5 over 720 days. 00914AAQ5 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, MetLife, Brera Holdings, Jackson Financial, Fortinet, and Walmart. More

00914AAQ5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00914AAQ5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AL 21 01 SEP 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

00914AAQ5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00914AAQ5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00914AAQ5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00914AAQ5 historical prices to predict the future 00914AAQ5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.4587.0787.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.4381.0595.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.5485.1685.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.2189.7992.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 00914AAQ5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 00914AAQ5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 00914AAQ5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 00914AAQ5.

00914AAQ5 Backtested Returns

00914AAQ5 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1, which signifies that the bond had a -0.1% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 00914AAQ5 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 00914AAQ5's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.17, information ratio of (0.33), and Variance of 0.3541 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0592, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 00914AAQ5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 00914AAQ5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

AL 21 01 SEP 28 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00914AAQ5 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 00914AAQ5 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current 00914AAQ5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.85

00914AAQ5 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 00914AAQ5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00914AAQ5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00914AAQ5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00914AAQ5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

00914AAQ5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00914AAQ5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00914AAQ5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00914AAQ5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

00914AAQ5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 00914AAQ5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00914AAQ5 bond have on its future price. 00914AAQ5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00914AAQ5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00914AAQ5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AL 21 01 SEP 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 00914AAQ5 Bond

00914AAQ5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00914AAQ5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00914AAQ5 with respect to the benefits of owning 00914AAQ5 security.