AL 22 15 JAN 27 Market Value

00914AAR3   91.72  3.27  3.44%   
00914AAR3's market value is the price at which a share of 00914AAR3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AL 22 15 JAN 27 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AL 22 15 JAN 27 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 00914AAR3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 00914AAR3 Correlation, 00914AAR3 Volatility and 00914AAR3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 00914AAR3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 00914AAR3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00914AAR3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00914AAR3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

00914AAR3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00914AAR3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00914AAR3.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 00914AAR3 on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AL 22 15 JAN 27 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00914AAR3 over 30 days. 00914AAR3 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, MetLife, Brera Holdings, Jackson Financial, Fortinet, and Walmart. More

00914AAR3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00914AAR3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AL 22 15 JAN 27 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

00914AAR3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00914AAR3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00914AAR3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00914AAR3 historical prices to predict the future 00914AAR3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.2491.7292.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6376.11100.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.8891.3691.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.3092.5894.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 00914AAR3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 00914AAR3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 00914AAR3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 00914AAR3.

00914AAR3 Backtested Returns

00914AAR3 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 00914AAR3 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 00914AAR3's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3968, variance of 1.09, and Information Ratio of (0.15) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 00914AAR3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 00914AAR3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

AL 22 15 JAN 27 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00914AAR3 time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 00914AAR3 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current 00914AAR3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.03

00914AAR3 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 00914AAR3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00914AAR3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00914AAR3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00914AAR3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

00914AAR3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00914AAR3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00914AAR3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00914AAR3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

00914AAR3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 00914AAR3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00914AAR3 bond have on its future price. 00914AAR3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00914AAR3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00914AAR3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AL 22 15 JAN 27.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 00914AAR3 Bond

00914AAR3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00914AAR3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00914AAR3 with respect to the benefits of owning 00914AAR3 security.