APD 48 03 MAR 33 Market Value

009158BF2   101.01  0.26  0.26%   
009158BF2's market value is the price at which a share of 009158BF2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of APD 48 03 MAR 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of APD 48 03 MAR 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 009158BF2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 009158BF2 Correlation, 009158BF2 Volatility and 009158BF2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 009158BF2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 009158BF2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 009158BF2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 009158BF2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

009158BF2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 009158BF2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 009158BF2.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 009158BF2 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding APD 48 03 MAR 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 009158BF2 over 720 days. 009158BF2 is related to or competes with Luxfer Holdings, Tenaris SA, Eastman Chemical, Awilco Drilling, Delek Drilling, CF Industries, and Axalta Coating. More

009158BF2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 009158BF2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess APD 48 03 MAR 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

009158BF2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 009158BF2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 009158BF2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 009158BF2 historical prices to predict the future 009158BF2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.42101.01101.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.7796.36111.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.85101.44102.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.1699.95101.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 009158BF2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 009158BF2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 009158BF2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in APD 48 03.

APD 48 03 Backtested Returns

APD 48 03 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0334, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0334% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. APD 48 03 MAR 33 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 009158BF2's Variance of 0.5878, mean deviation of 0.4464, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0067, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 009158BF2's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 009158BF2 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

APD 48 03 MAR 33 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 009158BF2 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of APD 48 03 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current 009158BF2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.77

APD 48 03 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 009158BF2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 009158BF2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 009158BF2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 009158BF2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

009158BF2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 009158BF2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 009158BF2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 009158BF2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

009158BF2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 009158BF2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 009158BF2 bond have on its future price. 009158BF2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 009158BF2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 009158BF2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in APD 48 03 MAR 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 009158BF2 Bond

009158BF2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 009158BF2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 009158BF2 with respect to the benefits of owning 009158BF2 security.