APPLE INC 3 Market Value

037833DK3   94.49  2.33  2.41%   
APPLE's market value is the price at which a share of APPLE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of APPLE INC 3 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of APPLE INC 3 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in APPLE over a given investment horizon.
Check out APPLE Correlation, APPLE Volatility and APPLE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on APPLE.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between APPLE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APPLE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APPLE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

APPLE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to APPLE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of APPLE.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in APPLE on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding APPLE INC 3 or generate 0.0% return on investment in APPLE over 30 days. APPLE is related to or competes with AerSale Corp, Cebu Air, Air Lease, Mesa Air, Finnair Oyj, Ryanair Holdings, and Mayfair Gold. More

APPLE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure APPLE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess APPLE INC 3 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

APPLE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for APPLE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as APPLE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use APPLE historical prices to predict the future APPLE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.9894.4995.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.0495.3695.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.3094.8295.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.0695.3497.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as APPLE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against APPLE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, APPLE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in APPLE INC 3.

APPLE INC 3 Backtested Returns

APPLE INC 3 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0401, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0401% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. APPLE INC 3 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm APPLE's mean deviation of 0.3532, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0929, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, APPLE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding APPLE is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

APPLE INC 3 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between APPLE time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of APPLE INC 3 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current APPLE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.41

APPLE INC 3 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is APPLE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting APPLE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of APPLE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that APPLE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

APPLE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If APPLE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if APPLE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in APPLE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

APPLE Lagged Returns

When evaluating APPLE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of APPLE bond have on its future price. APPLE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, APPLE autocorrelation shows the relationship between APPLE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in APPLE INC 3.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in APPLE Bond

APPLE financial ratios help investors to determine whether APPLE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APPLE with respect to the benefits of owning APPLE security.