MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 Market Value

233851CU6   96.15  1.19  1.22%   
MBGGR's market value is the price at which a share of MBGGR trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MBGGR over a given investment horizon.
Check out MBGGR Correlation, MBGGR Volatility and MBGGR Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MBGGR.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MBGGR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MBGGR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MBGGR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MBGGR 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MBGGR's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MBGGR.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MBGGR on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 or generate 0.0% return on investment in MBGGR over 30 days. MBGGR is related to or competes with Weyco, Harmony Gold, Constellation Brands, Summit Materials, and BBB Foods. More

MBGGR Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MBGGR's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MBGGR Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MBGGR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MBGGR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MBGGR historical prices to predict the future MBGGR's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.8596.1596.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.7986.09105.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.5995.9096.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.7597.2798.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MBGGR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MBGGR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MBGGR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MBGGR 345 06.

MBGGR 345 06 Backtested Returns

MBGGR 345 06 has Sharpe Ratio of -0.3, which conveys that the bond had a -0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MBGGR exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MBGGR's Mean Deviation of 0.2581, downside deviation of 0.491, and Semi Deviation of 0.4691 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The entity secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.14, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MBGGR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MBGGR is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.8  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MBGGR time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MBGGR 345 06 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current MBGGR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.8
Spearman Rank Test-0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

MBGGR 345 06 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MBGGR bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MBGGR's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MBGGR returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MBGGR has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MBGGR regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MBGGR bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MBGGR bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MBGGR bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MBGGR Lagged Returns

When evaluating MBGGR's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MBGGR bond have on its future price. MBGGR autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MBGGR autocorrelation shows the relationship between MBGGR bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MBGGR 345 06 JAN 27.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MBGGR Bond

MBGGR financial ratios help investors to determine whether MBGGR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MBGGR with respect to the benefits of owning MBGGR security.