UAL 31 07 OCT 28 Market Value

90932DAA3   91.00  1.55  1.73%   
90932DAA3's market value is the price at which a share of 90932DAA3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UAL 31 07 OCT 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UAL 31 07 OCT 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 90932DAA3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 90932DAA3 Correlation, 90932DAA3 Volatility and 90932DAA3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 90932DAA3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 90932DAA3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 90932DAA3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 90932DAA3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

90932DAA3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 90932DAA3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 90932DAA3.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 90932DAA3 on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UAL 31 07 OCT 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 90932DAA3 over 30 days. 90932DAA3 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Alphabet, InMode, BigBearai Holdings, IQIYI, and SoundHound. More

90932DAA3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 90932DAA3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UAL 31 07 OCT 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

90932DAA3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 90932DAA3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 90932DAA3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 90932DAA3 historical prices to predict the future 90932DAA3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.2291.0093.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0274.80100.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.9390.7193.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.7590.4892.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 90932DAA3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 90932DAA3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 90932DAA3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UAL 31 07.

UAL 31 07 Backtested Returns

At this point, 90932DAA3 is very steady. UAL 31 07 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0203, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0203% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for UAL 31 07 OCT 28, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 90932DAA3's Downside Deviation of 2.36, semi deviation of 2.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0273 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0563%. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 90932DAA3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 90932DAA3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

UAL 31 07 OCT 28 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 90932DAA3 time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UAL 31 07 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current 90932DAA3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.47

UAL 31 07 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 90932DAA3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 90932DAA3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 90932DAA3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 90932DAA3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

90932DAA3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 90932DAA3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 90932DAA3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 90932DAA3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

90932DAA3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 90932DAA3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 90932DAA3 bond have on its future price. 90932DAA3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 90932DAA3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 90932DAA3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UAL 31 07 OCT 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 90932DAA3 Bond

90932DAA3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 90932DAA3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 90932DAA3 with respect to the benefits of owning 90932DAA3 security.