Vodafone Group (Brazil) Market Value

V1OD34 Stock  BRL 26.28  0.52  1.94%   
Vodafone Group's market value is the price at which a share of Vodafone Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vodafone Group Public investors about its performance. Vodafone Group is trading at 26.28 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 1.94% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 26.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vodafone Group Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vodafone Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Vodafone Group Correlation, Vodafone Group Volatility and Vodafone Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vodafone Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodafone Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodafone Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vodafone Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vodafone Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vodafone Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vodafone Group.
0.00
12/18/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vodafone Group on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vodafone Group Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vodafone Group over 360 days. Vodafone Group is related to or competes with Nordon Indstrias, Bemobi Mobile, United Airlines, Take Two, Livetech, Palantir Technologies, and Metalurgica Gerdau. More

Vodafone Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vodafone Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vodafone Group Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vodafone Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vodafone Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vodafone Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vodafone Group historical prices to predict the future Vodafone Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0226.8028.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5322.3129.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.8027.5929.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.2626.6428.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vodafone Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vodafone Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vodafone Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vodafone Group Public.

Vodafone Group Public Backtested Returns

Vodafone Group Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.037, which indicates the firm had a -0.037% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vodafone Group Public exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vodafone Group's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), coefficient of variation of (4,585), and Variance of 3.1 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vodafone Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vodafone Group is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Vodafone Group Public has a negative expected return of -0.0665%. Please make sure to validate Vodafone Group's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Vodafone Group Public performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

Vodafone Group Public has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vodafone Group time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vodafone Group Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Vodafone Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.38

Vodafone Group Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vodafone Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vodafone Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vodafone Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vodafone Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vodafone Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vodafone Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vodafone Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vodafone Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vodafone Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vodafone Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vodafone Group stock have on its future price. Vodafone Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vodafone Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vodafone Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vodafone Group Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vodafone Stock

Vodafone Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vodafone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vodafone with respect to the benefits of owning Vodafone Group security.