Global Social Awareness Fund Market Value

VCSOX Fund  USD 25.43  0.19  0.75%   
Global Social's market value is the price at which a share of Global Social trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Social Awareness investors about its performance. Global Social is trading at 25.43 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.75 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Social Awareness and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Social over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Social Correlation, Global Social Volatility and Global Social Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Social.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Social's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Social is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Social's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Social 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Social's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Social.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Social on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Social Awareness or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Social over 30 days. Global Social is related to or competes with Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Valic Company, Valic Company, Stock Index, Small Cap, and Broad Cap. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of net assets in the equity securities of companies that meet the funds social criteria located in at least three different countries, with at least 40 percent of net assets in foreign securities, or if conditions are unfavorable, at least 30 percent of net assets in foreign securities. More

Global Social Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Social's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Social Awareness upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Social Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Social's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Social's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Social historical prices to predict the future Global Social's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4025.2426.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5525.3926.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6725.5126.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7124.9725.22
Details

Global Social Awareness Backtested Returns

Global Social Awareness holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0362, which attests that the entity had a -0.0362% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Social Awareness exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Social's Standard Deviation of 0.8555, market risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.44, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Social's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Social is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Global Social Awareness has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Social time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Social Awareness price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Global Social price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Global Social Awareness lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Social mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Social's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Social returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Social has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Social regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Social mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Social mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Social mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Social Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Social's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Social mutual fund have on its future price. Global Social autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Social autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Social mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Social Awareness.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Social financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Social security.
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