Usa Mutuals Vice Fund Market Value

VICVX Fund  USD 21.54  0.16  0.74%   
Usa Mutuals' market value is the price at which a share of Usa Mutuals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Usa Mutuals Vice investors about its performance. Usa Mutuals is trading at 21.54 as of the 18th of December 2024; that is 0.74 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Usa Mutuals Vice and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Usa Mutuals over a given investment horizon. Check out Usa Mutuals Correlation, Usa Mutuals Volatility and Usa Mutuals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Usa Mutuals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Usa Mutuals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Usa Mutuals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Usa Mutuals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Usa Mutuals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Usa Mutuals' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Usa Mutuals.
0.00
11/18/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Usa Mutuals on November 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Usa Mutuals Vice or generate 0.0% return on investment in Usa Mutuals over 30 days. Usa Mutuals is related to or competes with Usa Mutuals, Usa Mutuals, Usa Mutuals, Virtus Convertible, Kinetics Paradigm, and Nuveen Santa. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of companies... More

Usa Mutuals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Usa Mutuals' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Usa Mutuals Vice upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Usa Mutuals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Usa Mutuals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Usa Mutuals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Usa Mutuals historical prices to predict the future Usa Mutuals' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Usa Mutuals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7721.5422.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9721.7422.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.6221.3922.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6722.4123.14
Details

Usa Mutuals Vice Backtested Returns

Usa Mutuals Vice owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0534, which indicates the fund had a -0.0534% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Usa Mutuals Vice exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Usa Mutuals' Variance of 0.6004, coefficient of variation of (1,704), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Usa Mutuals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Usa Mutuals is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

Usa Mutuals Vice has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Usa Mutuals time series from 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024 and 3rd of December 2024 to 18th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Usa Mutuals Vice price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Usa Mutuals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

Usa Mutuals Vice lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Usa Mutuals mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Usa Mutuals' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Usa Mutuals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Usa Mutuals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Usa Mutuals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Usa Mutuals mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Usa Mutuals mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Usa Mutuals mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Usa Mutuals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Usa Mutuals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Usa Mutuals mutual fund have on its future price. Usa Mutuals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Usa Mutuals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Usa Mutuals mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Usa Mutuals Vice.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Usa Mutual Fund

Usa Mutuals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Usa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Usa with respect to the benefits of owning Usa Mutuals security.
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