National Health (Germany) Market Value

WX6 Stock  EUR 72.00  0.50  0.69%   
National Health's market value is the price at which a share of National Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of National Health Investors investors about its performance. National Health is trading at 72.00 as of the 5th of December 2024. This is a 0.69 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 71.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of National Health Investors and determine expected loss or profit from investing in National Health over a given investment horizon. Check out National Health Correlation, National Health Volatility and National Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on National Health.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between National Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

National Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Health.
0.00
12/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in National Health on December 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Health Investors or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Health over 720 days. National Health is related to or competes with INTERSHOP Communications, Gamma Communications, BOSTON BEER, Cogent Communications, CITIC Telecom, SK TELECOM, and Charter Communications. is a real estate investment trust specializing in sale-leaseback, joint-venture, mortgage and mezzanine financing of nee... More

National Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Health Investors upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

National Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Health historical prices to predict the future National Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.5172.0073.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.0659.5579.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.7470.2271.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.5372.2572.98
Details

National Health Investors Backtested Returns

National Health Investors has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0016, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0016% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. National Health exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify National Health's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0248, downside deviation of 1.44, and Mean Deviation of 1.25 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0953, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Health is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, National Health Investors has a negative expected return of -0.0023%. Please make sure to verify National Health's treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if National Health Investors performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.05  

Virtually no predictability

National Health Investors has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Health time series from 16th of December 2022 to 11th of December 2023 and 11th of December 2023 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Health Investors price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current National Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance88.14

National Health Investors lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is National Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting National Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of National Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that National Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

National Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If National Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if National Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in National Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

National Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating National Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of National Health stock have on its future price. National Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, National Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between National Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in National Health Investors.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in National Stock

When determining whether National Health Investors offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Health Investors Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Health Investors Stock:
Check out National Health Correlation, National Health Volatility and National Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on National Health.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
National Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of National Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of National Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...