X FAB (Germany) Market Value
XFB Stock | EUR 4.39 0.11 2.44% |
Symbol | XFB |
Please note, there is a significant difference between X FAB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if X FAB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, X FAB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
X FAB 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to X FAB's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of X FAB.
12/09/2023 |
| 12/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in X FAB on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding X FAB Silicon Foundries or generate 0.0% return on investment in X FAB over 360 days. X FAB is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, and Microsoft. More
X FAB Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure X FAB's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess X FAB Silicon Foundries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 16.67 | |||
Value At Risk | (4.97) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.94 |
X FAB Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for X FAB's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as X FAB's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use X FAB historical prices to predict the future X FAB's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.29) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.74) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (1.81) |
X FAB Silicon Backtested Returns
X FAB Silicon shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0708, which attests that the company had a -0.0708% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. X FAB Silicon exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out X FAB's Standard Deviation of 3.08, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 2.15 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, X FAB's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding X FAB is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, X FAB Silicon has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check out X FAB's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if X FAB Silicon performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Auto-correlation | 0.89 |
Very good predictability
X FAB Silicon Foundries has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between X FAB time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of X FAB Silicon price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current X FAB price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.89 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.87 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.53 |
X FAB Silicon lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is X FAB stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting X FAB's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of X FAB returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that X FAB has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
X FAB regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If X FAB stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if X FAB stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in X FAB stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
X FAB Lagged Returns
When evaluating X FAB's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of X FAB stock have on its future price. X FAB autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, X FAB autocorrelation shows the relationship between X FAB stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in X FAB Silicon Foundries.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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X FAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether XFB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XFB with respect to the benefits of owning X FAB security.