Pimco California Municipal Fund Market Value

XPCQX Fund  USD 10.15  0.08  0.78%   
Pimco California's market value is the price at which a share of Pimco California trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pimco California Municipal investors about its performance. Pimco California is trading at 10.15 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.23.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pimco California Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pimco California over a given investment horizon. Check out Pimco California Correlation, Pimco California Volatility and Pimco California Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pimco California.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pimco California's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pimco California is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pimco California's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pimco California 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pimco California's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pimco California.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pimco California on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pimco California Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pimco California over 30 days. Pimco California is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. Pimco California is entity of United States More

Pimco California Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pimco California's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pimco California Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pimco California Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pimco California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pimco California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pimco California historical prices to predict the future Pimco California's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1416.0116.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1410.9711.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.329.9210.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1510.5410.92
Details

Pimco California Mun Backtested Returns

Pimco California Mun maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.14, which implies the entity had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pimco California Mun exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pimco California's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), variance of 0.3429, and Coefficient Of Variation of (698.13) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pimco California's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pimco California is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.89  

Excellent reverse predictability

Pimco California Municipal has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pimco California time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pimco California Mun price movement. The serial correlation of -0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Pimco California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.89
Spearman Rank Test-0.95
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Pimco California Mun lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pimco California mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pimco California's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pimco California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pimco California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pimco California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pimco California mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pimco California mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pimco California mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pimco California Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pimco California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pimco California mutual fund have on its future price. Pimco California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pimco California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pimco California mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pimco California Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco California security.
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