Dreyfus Gnma Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DRGMX Fund  USD 12.85  0.03  0.23%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0492, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dreyfus Gnma are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dreyfus Gnma is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Dreyfus Gnma Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Dreyfus Gnma is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of September 2022
Expense Ratio0.7000
  

Dreyfus Gnma Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,297  in Dreyfus Gnma Fund on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Dreyfus Gnma Fund or give up 0.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Dreyfus Gnma Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2908% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Dreyfus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Gnma is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.57 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Dreyfus Gnma Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
12.85
Please note that Dreyfus Gnma's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Dreyfus Gnma shows a prevailing Real Value of $12.54 per share. The current price of the fund is $12.85. We determine the value of Dreyfus Gnma from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Dreyfus Gnma is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dreyfus Mutual Fund. However, Dreyfus Gnma's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.85 Real  12.54 Hype  12.85 Naive  12.91
The intrinsic value of Dreyfus Gnma's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dreyfus Gnma's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.54
Real Value
14.14
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dreyfus Gnma Fund helps investors to forecast how Dreyfus mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dreyfus Gnma more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dreyfus Gnma's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6112.7612.90
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5612.8513.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.6212.9113.20
Details

Dreyfus Gnma Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Gnma's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Dreyfus Gnma Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Dreyfus Gnma's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0485

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Negative ReturnsDRGMX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.29
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Dreyfus Gnma is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Dreyfus Gnma by adding Dreyfus Gnma to a well-diversified portfolio.

Dreyfus Gnma Fundamentals Growth

Dreyfus Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dreyfus Gnma, and Dreyfus Gnma fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dreyfus Mutual Fund performance.

About Dreyfus Gnma Performance

Evaluating Dreyfus Gnma's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dreyfus Gnma has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dreyfus Gnma has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in U.S. mortgage-related securities. It will invest at least 65 percent of its net assets in Ginnie Maes. The fund can invest in privately issued mortgage-backed securities with a BBB or higher credit quality, but currently the advisor intends to invest in only those securities with an A or higher credit quality. It is not subject to any maturity or duration restrictions.

Things to note about Dreyfus Gnma performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus Gnma for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus Gnma help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dreyfus Gnma generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fidelity suffers mutual fund outflows for first time in 2024 - Citywire Professional Buyer
Dreyfus Gnma generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund retains about 7.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Dreyfus Gnma's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dreyfus Gnma's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Dreyfus Gnma's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dreyfus Gnma's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dreyfus Gnma's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dreyfus Gnma's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dreyfus Gnma's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dreyfus Gnma's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Dreyfus Gnma's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dreyfus Gnma's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dreyfus Gnma's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Gnma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Gnma security.
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