Falcon Oil (UK) Performance
| FOG Stock | 4.25 0.00 0.00% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.2, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Falcon Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Falcon Oil is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Falcon Oil Gas has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to confirm Falcon Oil's jensen alpha, potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Falcon Oil Gas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0 of 100
Weak | Strong |
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Falcon Oil Gas has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
1 | Falcon Oil Gas Ltd. - Notice of Special Meeting of Shareholders and Management Information Circular - Marketscreener.com | 09/27/2024 |
2 | FOLGF Shares Outstanding 1,109.14 Mil - GuruFocus.com | 11/20/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 16.8 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -9.1 M |
Falcon |
Falcon Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 530.00 in Falcon Oil Gas on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (105.00) from holding Falcon Oil Gas or give up 19.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. Falcon Oil Gas is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.8399% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Falcon, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Falcon Oil Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Falcon Oil's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Falcon Oil Gas, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Falcon Oil's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1778
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | ||||
| Small Returns | ||||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | FOG |
Estimated Market Risk
| 1.84 actual daily | 16 84% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.33 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.18 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Falcon Oil is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Falcon Oil by adding Falcon Oil to a well-diversified portfolio.
Falcon Oil Fundamentals Growth
Falcon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Falcon Oil, and Falcon Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Falcon Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0769 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0361 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 42.04 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.11 B | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 59,547 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (3.04 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (3.34 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 18.54 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.04 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.4 M) | ||||
| Total Asset | 61.54 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (407.2 M) | ||||
About Falcon Oil Performance
By analyzing Falcon Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Falcon Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Falcon Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Falcon Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Falcon Oil is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange.Things to note about Falcon Oil Gas performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Falcon Oil Gas has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 K. | |
| Falcon Oil generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FOLGF Shares Outstanding 1,109.14 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
- Analyzing Falcon Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Falcon Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Falcon Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Falcon Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Falcon Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Falcon Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Falcon Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Falcon Stock analysis
When running Falcon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Falcon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities |