Guidepath Servative Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GPTCX Fund  USD 11.69  0.01  0.09%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.32, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath(r) Conservative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath(r) Conservative is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guidepath Servative Allocation are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Guidepath(r) Conservative is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.8500
  

Guidepath(r) Conservative Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,140  in Guidepath Servative Allocation on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  29.00  from holding Guidepath Servative Allocation or generate 2.54% return on investment over 90 days. Guidepath Servative Allocation is currently producing 0.0397% returns and takes up 0.3122% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guidepath(r), and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath(r) Conservative is expected to generate 3.71 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.38 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guidepath(r) Conservative Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.69
Please note that Guidepath(r) Conservative's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guidepath(r) Conservative retains a regular Real Value of $11.66 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $11.69. We determine the value of Guidepath(r) Conservative from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guidepath(r) Conservative is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund. However, Guidepath(r) Conservative's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.69 Real  11.66 Hype  11.69 Naive  11.76
The intrinsic value of Guidepath(r) Conservative's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guidepath(r) Conservative's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.66
Real Value
11.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guidepath Servative Allocation helps investors to forecast how Guidepath(r) mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guidepath(r) Conservative more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guidepath(r) Conservative's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5511.6311.71
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3811.6912.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.4511.7612.07
Details

Guidepath(r) Conservative Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guidepath(r) Conservative's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guidepath Servative Allocation, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guidepath(r) Conservative's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1273

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsGPTCX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.31
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.13
  actual daily
10
90% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guidepath(r) Conservative is performing at about 10% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guidepath(r) Conservative by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guidepath(r) Conservative Fundamentals Growth

Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidepath(r) Conservative, and Guidepath(r) Conservative fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund performance.

About Guidepath(r) Conservative Performance

Evaluating Guidepath(r) Conservative's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guidepath(r) Conservative has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guidepath(r) Conservative has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund operates as a fund of funds, investing primarily in registered mutual funds, including exchange-traded funds . The funds in which the fund may invest are referred to herein as the underlying funds. The Advisor believes that investing in underlying funds provides the fund with an efficient means of creating a portfolio that provides investors with indirect exposure to a broad range of securities.

Things to note about Guidepath(r) Conservative performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidepath(r) Conservative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guidepath(r) Conservative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 49.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Guidepath(r) Conservative's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guidepath(r) Conservative's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guidepath(r) Conservative's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidepath(r) Conservative's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guidepath(r) Conservative's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guidepath(r) Conservative's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidepath(r) Conservative's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidepath(r) Conservative's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guidepath(r) Conservative's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guidepath(r) Conservative's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guidepath(r) Conservative's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund

Guidepath(r) Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath(r) Conservative security.
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