Green Brick Partners Stock Performance

GRBK Stock  USD 57.63  0.94  1.66%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.35, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Green Brick will likely underperform. At this point, Green Brick Partners has a negative expected return of -0.52%. Please make sure to check out Green Brick's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Green Brick Partners performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Green Brick Partners has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.66
Five Day Return
(10.19)
Year To Date Return
11.17
Ten Year Return
583.63
All Time Return
(72.58)
Last Split Factor
1532:1000
Last Split Date
2014-09-24
1
Green Brick Partners Q3 Earnings Preview What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
10/29/2024
2
Green Brick Partners Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Misses Expectations
11/01/2024
3
Greenlight Capital Re Ltd Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Net Income Growth ...
11/06/2024
4
Green Brick Partners Inc Trading Down 3.87 percent on Nov 12
11/12/2024
5
David Einhorn sells 70.3 million in Green Brick Partners stock
11/15/2024
6
When Should You Buy Green Brick Partners, Inc.
11/21/2024
7
Disposition of 3500 shares by Richard Press of Green Brick at 69.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/22/2024
8
Acquisition by Richard Press of tradable shares of Green Brick at 51.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/27/2024
9
Stocks With Rising Relative Strength Green Brick Partners
12/10/2024
10
Selling Green Brick Partners Shares at a Lower Price Than Current Market Value May Have Been a Costly Mistake for Insiders
12/19/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow93.3 M
  

Green Brick Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,184  in Green Brick Partners on September 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2,421) from holding Green Brick Partners or give up 29.58% of portfolio value over 90 days. Green Brick Partners is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.4357% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Green, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Green Brick is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Green Brick Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Green Brick's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Green Brick Partners, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Green Brick's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.2122

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Negative ReturnsGRBK

Estimated Market Risk

 2.44
  actual daily
21
79% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.52
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.21
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Green Brick is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Green Brick by adding Green Brick to a well-diversified portfolio.

Green Brick Fundamentals Growth

Green Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Green Brick, and Green Brick fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Green Stock performance.

About Green Brick Performance

By examining Green Brick's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Green Brick's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Green Brick is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 455.16  787.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.23 

Things to note about Green Brick Partners performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Brick for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Brick Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Brick Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Green Brick Partners has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Selling Green Brick Partners Shares at a Lower Price Than Current Market Value May Have Been a Costly Mistake for Insiders
Evaluating Green Brick's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Green Brick's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Green Brick's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Green Brick's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Green Brick's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Green Brick's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Green Brick's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Green Brick's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Green Brick's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Green Brick's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Green Brick's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Green Brick Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Green Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Brick Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.269
Earnings Share
7.71
Revenue Per Share
44.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.25
Return On Assets
0.1344
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.