Apple Inc Stock Price Prediction
| AAPL Stock | USD 237.33 2.40 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.46 | Wall Street Target Price 244.4774 |
Using Apple hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apple Inc from the perspective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Apple Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Apple's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Apple. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apple can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apple Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Apple's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Apple.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Apple to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Apple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Apple after-hype prediction price | USD 237.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Apple After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apple at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apple or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apple, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apple's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apple's historical news coverage. Apple's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 236.22 and 238.64, respectively. We have considered Apple's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apple is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apple Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apple is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apple backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apple, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.21 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
237.33 | 237.43 | 0.04 |
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Apple Hype Timeline
Apple Inc is presently traded for 237.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 237.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 135.96%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 1324.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 237.34. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 391.04 B. Net Income was 93.74 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 170.78 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Apple Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apple's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apple's future price movements. Getting to know how Apple's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apple may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPL | LG Display Co | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.49 | (3.74) | 11.29 | |
| SNEJF | Sony Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.77 | 0.15 | 15.56 | (79.88) | 491.12 | |
| SONO | Sonos Inc | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.41 | 0.04 | 4.04 | (3.91) | 11.24 | |
| VZIO | Vizio Holding Corp | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.39 | (0.24) | 0.90 | (0.62) | 2.34 | |
| MICS | The Singing Machine | (0.21) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 15.69 | (13.04) | 44.31 | |
| WLDSW | Wearable Devices | (0) | 4 per month | 25.45 | 0.24 | 1,158 | (35.00) | 2,120 | |
| KOSS | Koss Corporation | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.93 | (5.80) | 16.66 | |
| GPRO | GoPro Inc | (0.09) | 10 per month | 4.23 | (0.01) | 5.65 | (6.47) | 26.69 | |
| SONY | Sony Group Corp | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.56 | (0.04) | 2.76 | (2.53) | 12.94 | |
| UEIC | Universal Electronics | 1.79 | 5 per month | 2.77 | 0.06 | 4.75 | (4.88) | 34.96 | |
| HEAR | Turtle Beach Corp | 0.60 | 8 per month | 2.61 | 0.04 | 4.37 | (4.23) | 16.47 | |
| VUZI | Vuzix Corp Cmn | (0.01) | 8 per month | 4.44 | 0.21 | 16.07 | (6.80) | 44.02 | |
| WLDS | Wearable Devices | (0.81) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.82 | (12.98) | 62.28 |
Apple Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Apple Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Apple stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Apple Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apple based on analysis of Apple hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Apple's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Apple's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006084 | 0.004359 | 0.005574 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.19 | 8.94 | 7.03 |
Story Coverage note for Apple
The number of cover stories for Apple depends on current market conditions and Apple's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apple is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apple's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Apple Short Properties
Apple's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apple's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apple Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apple's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apple's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.2 B |
Check out Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apple. If investors know Apple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apple listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 6.08 | Revenue Per Share 25.485 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of Apple Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apple's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apple's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apple's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apple's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apple's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apple is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apple's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.